Monday, July 30, 2012

S&P Morning Update for July 30, 2012



Overnight Inventory is 100% Short but the range was contained within Friday's Upper Distribution. As mentioned in last night's blog post- any meaningful change will occur if price is accepted below 1376 and possibly a test of 1373.75. If we Open now we will Open at the center of the Upper Distribution - which denotes Balance. Your early references for the Pit Session are Friday's High and Close and the 1373.75 -1376 area.

Sunday, July 29, 2012

S&P Futures Update for July 30, 2012





















We are still in a 7-Month Balance as July comes to a close. If there is to be upside continuation, the next target above is a series of closely stacked Highs beginning with 1405.25 upto to the yearly high. 1400 is clearly a key psychological level and will offer some resistance. Looking at the Weekly Bar chart above (and to the right) - the S&Ps broke out above a 4-week balance high of 1376 and closed above the balance area - settling at 1382.50. If this breakout is real - we should see higher Prices next week.


 


I am showing a Daily Bar chart above (left) from Late April/Early May that shows a 6-7 day balance area and key references above. The chart to the right shows the 2 Gaps below and 1376 which was the breakout level on Friday primarily on news out of Europe amid optimism European policy makers will support the euro.  On Monday, be alert for a retest of 1376 and possibly 1373.75. Friday's profile was very stretched out and left 3 distinct distributions. Opening and building higher to overlapping higher Value relative to the first distribution is positive. Re-entering the second (middle) distribution is negative and may be the first sign of a breakout failure. See Profile Below