Wednesday, December 12, 2012

S&P Futures Update for Dec 13, 2012



Wednesday delivered a double neutral day. We explored above the key 1431 Monday and Tuesday and settled back below this level. As I mentioned yesterday - failure to find acceptance above the 1431 level targets the Gap below and perhaps lower to 1416-17 level.

 

Given the poor structure below us - I had mentioned yesterday that the odds of upside continuation were lowered. We tagged the naked Volume POC at 1438.25 and sold off - settling at the lows. Tuesday and Wednesday have left poor lows. Two back to back poor lows considerably raise the odds that these lows are repaired. Below that we have the Gap fill and  two prominent POCs that have not been visited.Wednesday also left a poor high indicating that the auction to the upside is not complete - perhaps the auction is just exhausted after 1-timeframing up for the last 4 weeks . I would not get married to the short side as weekly and monthly trend remains UP.

S&P Futures Update for Dec 12, 2012

 

All Trends are UP. The S&P's ran stops above 1431.75 - took out the monthly and weekly high and settled at 1431.50. The question now is can the market find acceptance above 1431 level and stay above it. If it can then next weekly reference is 1459.75. Lets look at the profiles.

  

The overnight session made new highs at 1435.50 and is mostly balanced. Monday and Tuesday have prominent POCs. Tuesday's low is poor and we also have a poor low from 12/6. While this structure below us is poor - it doesn't mean it has to be corrected right away but it does lower the odds of upside continuation. Short term support is 1426-28 area. Above us I would watch 1441 - that is the level where the liquidation break began on 10/19.


Tuesday, December 11, 2012

S&P Futures Update for Dec 11, 2012

The overnight session has tagged the Globex High of 1424 shown in Monday's Blog post. Acceptance above 1424 targets the 1431-32 area. Failure to find acceptance above 1424 may result in a liquidation break especially if we continue higher without first visiting the prominent POC from Monday at 1418.75.